| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 2026 | W | Wisconsin | 41-13 | 1927.2 | -28.7 | 1898.5 | 87.7% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Rice | 52-0 | 1898.5 | +21.4 | 1919.9 | 98.7% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Michigan State | 27-10 | 1919.9 | -0.8 | 1919.2 | 91.6% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Purdue | 49-10 | 1919.2 | +19.6 | 1938.8 | 95.8% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | North Carolina | 37-26 | 1938.8 | -31.0 | 1907.8 | 96.0% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Stanford | 58-7 | 1907.8 | +17.6 | 1925.5 | 98.6% |